If regional Victoria moved on to the next step out of lockdown, pubs and restaurants could reopen for outdoor dining, home visits would be allowed, up to 10 people could meet outside, accommodation would reopen and attendee limits at weddings and funerals would lift to 10 and 20 respectively.
In Melbourne, under the state government’s road map, restrictions will be partially eased on September 28 if the 14-day average for new cases is between 30 and 50. Asked if that date was “set in stone”, Professor Sutton said the extra fortnight was needed to ensure Melbourne could get to “extremely low numbers of cases” and enjoy greater freedoms in the long term.
The state government’s cautious approach was backed by two epidemiologists who spoke to The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald on Monday, but the CEO of the Council of Small Business Organisations Australia, Peter Strong, said he believed restrictions could be safely eased earlier given their impact on business.
There were 35 new COVID-19 cases on Monday and seven more deaths, all of which were linked to aged care. The 14-day average for new cases dipped to 54.4 in metropolitan Melbourne and 3.9 in regional Victoria.
The government and Melbourne City Council have announced a $100 million city recovery fund that would help bars and restaurants pivot to outdoor dining in the summer when restrictions are eased.
And Mr Andrews said two of the city’s biggest sporting events – the Boxing Day Test and Australian Open – would remain in Melbourne and not be delayed, although they would look very different.
“It is too early for us to determine how big any crowd might be [and] teams and players coming from overseas and coaches and officials will all have to quarantine,” Mr Andrews said. “It won’t be an ordinary summer from that point of view. We will get as many people as we can get there, provided it is safe.”
Professor Sutton said work on five suburban contact tracing hubs, announced last week, was under way. He said the government was speaking with local GPs, hospitals and community medical centres, but it was “not a matter to rush”.
He called on Victorians to continue getting tested, after just over 8000 people were checked in the 24 hours to Monday – below half of Sunday’s total.
“The issue about lockdown is the pathway out is testing,” Professor Sutton said.
Mr Strong called on the state government to either ease restrictions earlier in Melbourne or “explain in proper detail” why this could not be done.
“This is impacting so much on business – there is an opportunity to open up and be safe,” he said.
However, epidemiologists Mary-Louise McLaws and Mike Toole supported the government’s decision to wait until September 28 before easing restrictions in Melbourne.
Professor McLaws, a World Health Organisation COVID-19 adviser, said a 14-day average of 50 new cases daily in Melbourne was still quite high and Victoria was not out of the woods.
“Professor Sutton is correctly conservative – we have seen other countries that have eased restrictions and then gone back to having a spike in cases,” she said.
Professor Toole, from the Burnet Institute, said Melbourne had been through a hard time.
“I think we need to be really confident when we go to the next stage. We don’t want to go into a situation like Sydney where we are putting out spot fires for 2½ months,” he said.
Inverloch Esplanade Hotel publican Dylan Clark said regional hospitality businesses had shown they could operate safely after the previous lockdown was eased.
“Our job is to manage people,” he said. “It’s a far more controlled environment being in a pub or restaurant or cafe than having 10 mates over and having a beer.”
Greater Geelong mayor Stephanie Asher said hospitality businesses would be rapt with a move to outdoor dining.
“But whether that suits other retailers to lose, for example, car parking or access by vehicles is up in the air,” she said.
Victorian Tourism Industry Council chief executive Felicia Mariani said the government funding to help businesses shift outdoors was an exciting and practical way of responding to the crisis.
However, she said the timeline to move out of lockdown should be accelerated if infection targets were met early.
“If we’re achieving those ahead of schedule, let’s make sure we’re responding to that and allowing elements of the economy to reopen,” she said.
Jewel Topsfield is a senior reporter at The Age. She has worked in Melbourne, Canberra and Jakarta as Indonesia correspondent. She has won multiple awards including a Walkley and the Lowy Institute Media Award.
Michael is a state political reporter for The Age.
Benjamin is The Age’s regional editor. He was previously state rounds reporter and has also covered education for The Age.